Prescription Drug Spending in Fee-for-Service Medicare, 2008-2019.

Importance: Prescription drug spending is a topic of increased interest to the public and policymakers. However, prior assessments have been limited by focusing on retail spending (Part D-covered drugs), omitting clinician-administered (Part B-covered) drug spending, or focusing on all fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries, regardless of their enrollment into prescription drug coverage. Objective: To estimate the proportion of health care spending contributed by prescription drugs and to assess spending for retail and clinician-administered prescriptions. Design, Setting, and Participants: Descriptive, serial, cross-sectional analysis of a 20% random sample of fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries in the United States from 2008 to 2019 who were continuously enrolled in Parts A (hospital), B (medical), and D (prescription drug) benefits, and not in Medicare Advantage. Exposure: Calendar year. Main Outcomes and Measures: Net spending on retail (Part D-covered) and clinician-administered (Part B-covered) prescription drugs; prescription drug spending (spending on Part B-covered and Part D-covered drugs) as a percentage of total per-capita health care spending. Measures were adjusted for inflation and for postsale rebates (for Part D-covered drugs). Results: There were 3 201 284 beneficiaries enrolled in Parts A, B, and D in 2008 and 4 502 718 in 2019. In 2019, beneficiaries had a mean (SD) age of 71.7 (12.0) years, documented sex was female for 57.7%, and 69.5% had no low-income subsidies. Total per-capita spending was $16 345 in 2008 and $20 117 in 2019. Comparing 2008 with 2019, per-capita Part A spending was $7106 (95% CI, $7084-$7128) vs $7120 (95% CI, $7098-$7141), Part B drug spending was $720 (95% CI, $713-$728) vs $1641 (95% CI, $1629-$1653), Part B nondrug spending was $5113 (95% CI, $5105-$5122) vs $6702 (95% CI, $6692-$6712), and Part D net spending was $3122 (95% CI, $3117-$3127) vs $3477 (95% CI, $3466-$3489). The proportion of total annual spending attributed to prescription drugs increased from 24.0% in 2008 to 27.2% in 2019, net of estimated rebates and discounts. Conclusions and Relevance: In 2019, spending on prescription drugs represented approximately 27% of total spending among fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries enrolled in Part D, even after accounting for postsale rebates.

Primary Care's Historic Role in Vaccination and Potential Role in COVID-19 Immunization Programs.

PURPOSE: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic recovery will require a broad and coordinated effort for infection testing, immunity determination, and vaccination. With the advent of several COVID-19 vaccines, the dissemination and delivery of COVID-19 immunization across the nation is of concern. Previous immunization delivery patterns may reveal important components of a comprehensive and sustainable effort to immunize everyone in the nation. METHODS: The delivery of vaccinations were enumerated by provider type using 2017 Medicare Part B Fee-For-Service data and the 2013-2017 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey. The delivery of these services was examined at the service, physician, and visit level. RESULTS: In 2017 Medicare Part B Fee-For-Service, primary care physicians provided the largest share of services for vaccinations (46%), followed closely by mass immunizers (45%), then nurse practitioners/physician assistants (NP/PAs) (5%). The Medical Expenditure Panel Survey showed that primary care physicians provided most clinical visits for vaccination (54% of all visits). CONCLUSIONS: Primary care physicians have played a crucial role in delivery of vaccinations to the US population, including the elderly, between 2012-2017. These findings indicate primary care practices may be a crucial element of vaccine counseling and delivery in the upcoming COVID-19 recovery and immunization efforts in the United States.

Recent Trends in Medicare Utilization and Reimbursement for Orthopaedic Procedures Performed at Ambulatory Surgery Centers.

BACKGROUND: As part of a market-driven response to the increasing costs of hospital-based surgical care, an increasing volume of orthopaedic procedures are being performed in ambulatory surgery centers (ASCs). The purpose of the present study was to identify recent trends in orthopaedic ASC procedure volume, utilization, and reimbursements in the Medicare system between 2012 and 2017. METHODS: This cross-sectional, national study tracked annual Medicare claims and payments and aggregated data at the county level. Descriptive statistics and multivariate regression models were used to evaluate trends in procedure volume, utilization rates, and reimbursement rates, and to identify demographic predictors of ASC utilization. RESULTS: A total of 1,914,905 orthopaedic procedures were performed at ASCs in the Medicare population between 2012 and 2017, with an 8.8% increase in annual procedure volume and a 10.5% increase in average reimbursements per case. ASC orthopaedic procedure utilization, including utilization across all subspecialties, is strongly associated with metropolitan areas compared with rural areas. In addition, orthopaedic procedure utilization, including for sports and hand procedures, was found to be significantly higher in wealthier counties (measured by average household income) and in counties located in the South. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrated increasing orthopaedic ASC procedure volume in recent years, driven by increases in hand procedure volume. Medicare reimbursements per case have steadily risen and outpaced the rate of inflation over the study period. However, as orthopaedic practice overhead continues to increase, other Medicare expenditures such as hospital payments and operational and implant costs also must be evaluated. These findings may provide a source of information that can be used by orthopaedic surgeons, policy makers, investors, and other stakeholders to make informed decisions regarding the costs and benefits of the use of ASCs for orthopaedic procedures.

Trends in Glaucoma Surgeries Performed by Glaucoma Subspecialists versus Nonsubspecialists on Medicare Beneficiaries from 2008 through 2016.

PURPOSE: To characterize the use of laser and incisional glaucoma surgeries among Medicare beneficiaries from 2008 through 2016 and to compare the use of these surgeries by glaucoma subspecialists versus nonsubspecialists. DESIGN: Retrospective, observational analysis. PARTICIPANTS: Medicare beneficiaries (n = 1 468 035) undergoing ≥1 laser or incisional glaucoma surgery procedure during 2008 through 2016. METHODS: Claims data from a 20% sample of enrollees in fee-for-service Medicare throughout the United States were analyzed to identify all laser and incisional glaucoma surgeries performed from 2008 through 2016. We assessed use of traditional incisional glaucoma surgery techniques (trabeculectomy and glaucoma drainage implant [GDI] procedure) and microinvasive glaucoma surgery (MIGS). Enrollee and procedure counts were multiplied by 5 to estimate use throughout all of Medicare. Linear regression was used to compare trends in use of glaucoma surgeries between ophthalmologists who could be characterized as glaucoma subspecialists versus nonsubspecialists. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Numbers of laser and incisional glaucoma surgeries performed overall and stratified by glaucoma subspecialist status. RESULTS: The number of Medicare beneficiaries undergoing any glaucoma therapeutic procedure increased by 10.6%, from 218 375 in 2008 to 241 565 in 2016. The total number of traditional incisional glaucoma surgeries decreased by 11.7%, from 37 225 to 32 885 (P = 0.02). The total number of MIGS procedures increased by 426% from 13 705 in 2012 (the first year MIGS codes were available) to 58 345 in 2016 (P = 0.001). Throughout the study period, glaucoma subspecialists performed most of the trabeculectomies (76.7% in 2008, 83.1% in 2016) and GDI procedures (77.7% in 2008, 80.6% in 2016). Many MIGS procedures were performed by nonsubspecialists. The proportions of endocyclophotocoagulations, iStent (Glaukos; San Clemente, CA) insertions, goniotomies, and canaloplasties performed by glaucoma subspecialists in 2016 were 22.0%, 25.2%, 56.9%, and 62.8%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: From 2008 through 2016, a large shift in practice from traditional incisional glaucoma surgeries to MIGS procedures was observed. Although glaucoma subspecialists continue to perform most traditional incisional glaucoma surgeries, many MIGS procedures are performed by nonsubspecialists. These results highlight the importance of training residents in performing MIGS procedures and managing these patients perioperatively. Future studies should explore the impact of this shift in care on outcomes and costs.

Characterizing the providers of and reimbursement for chronic migraine chemodenervation among the Medicare population.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize reimbursement trends and providers for chronic migraine (CM) chemodenervation treatment within the Medicare population since the introduction of the migraine-specific CPT code in 2013. METHODS: We describe trends in procedure volume and total allowed charge on cross-sectional data obtained from 2013 to 2018 Medicare Part B National Summary files. We also utilized the 2017 Medicare Provider Utilization and Payment Data to analyze higher volume providers (>10 procedures) of this treatment modality. RESULTS: The total number of CM chemodenervation treatments rose from 37,863 in 2013 to 135,023 in 2018 in a near-linear pattern (r = 0.999) and total allowed charges rose from ~$5,217,712 to $19,166,160 (r = 0.999). The majority of high-volume providers were neurologists (78.4%; 1060 of 1352), but a substantial proportion were advanced practice providers (APPs) (10.2%; 138 of 1352). Of the physicians, neurologists performed a higher mean number of procedures per physician compared to non-neurologists (59.6 [95% CI: 56.6-62.6] vs. 45.4 [95% CI: 41.0-50.0], p < 0.001). When comparing physicians and APPs, APPs were paid significantly less ($146.5 [95% CI: $145.6-$147.5] vs. $119.7 [95% CI: $117.6-$121.8], p < 0.001). As a percent of the number of total beneficiaries in each state, the percent of Medicare patients receiving ≥1 CM chemodenervation treatment from a high-volume provider in 2017 ranged from 0.024% (24 patients of 98,033 beneficiaries) in Wyoming to 0.135% (997 of 736,521) in Arizona, with six states falling outside of this range. CONCLUSION: Chemodenervation is an increasingly popular treatment for CM among neurologists and other providers, but the reason for this increase is unclear. There is substantial geographic variation in its use.

COVID-19 and cataract surgery backlog in Medicare beneficiaries.

PURPOSE: To forecast the volume of cataract surgery in Medicare beneficiaries in the United States in 2020 and to estimate the surgical backlog that may be created due to COVID-19. SETTING: Medicare Beneficiaries, United States. DESIGN: Epidemiologic modeling. METHODS: Baseline trends in cataract surgery among Medicare beneficiaries were assessed by querying the Medicare Part B Provider Utilization National Summary data. It was assumed that once the surgical deferment is over, there will be a ramp-up period; this was modeled using a stochastic Monte Carlo simulation. Total surgical backlog 2 years postsuspension was estimated. Sensitivity analyses were used to test model assumptions. RESULTS: Assuming cataract surgeries were to resume in May 2020, it would take 4 months under an optimistic scenario to revert to 90% of the expected pre-COVID forecasted volume. At 2-year postsuspension, the resulting backlog would be between 1.1 and 1.6 million cases. Sensitivity analyses revealed that a substantial surgical backlog would remain despite potentially lower surgical demand in the future. CONCLUSIONS: Suspension of elective cataract surgical care during the COVID-19 surge might have a lasting impact on ophthalmology and will likely result in a cataract surgical patient backlog. These data may aid physicians, payers, and policymakers in planning for postpandemic recovery.

Postoperative Complications in Medicare Beneficiaries Following Endothelial Keratoplasty Surgery.

PURPOSE: To determine national-level incidence rates of major postoperative complications following endothelial keratoplasty (EK) procedures and to stratify these rates based on EK indications over an 8-year period using Medicare claims data. DESIGN: Retrospective, cohort study. METHODS: Setting: population-based; study population: Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥65 years who underwent EK procedures; main outcome measurements: 1) occurrence of major postoperative complications (i.e., endophthalmitis, choroidal hemorrhage, infectious keratitis, cystoid macular edema [CME], retinal detachment [RD], or RD surgery) following EK surgery; 2) time-to-event analysis for glaucoma surgery; and 3) occurrence of graft complications. RESULTS: A total of 94,829 EK procedures (n = 71,040 unique patients) were included in the analysis. Of the total, 29% of patients had pre-existing glaucoma. The overall 90-day cumulative incidence of postoperative endophthalmitis and choroidal hemorrhage following EK was 0.03% and 0.05%, respectively. The overall 1-year cumulative rates of RD or RD surgery, infectious keratitis, and CME were 1.0%, 0.8%, and 4.1%, respectively. Approximately 7.6%, 12.2%, and 13.8% of all eyes in this study needed glaucoma surgery at 1-, 5-, and 8-years of follow-up, respectively. The probability of glaucoma surgery among patients with pre-existing glaucoma was 29% vs. 8% among those without pre-existing glaucoma at 8 years. The cumulative probabilities of developing any graft complications were 13%, 23.2%, and 27.1% at 1, 5, and 8 years, respectively, of follow-up. On average, patients undergoing EK procedures for a prior failed graft had the highest rate of complications, whereas those with Fuchs' corneal endothelial dystrophy had the lowest. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of major postoperative complications including endophthalmitis, retinal detachment, and choroidal hemorrhage following EK procedures is low. A high proportion of eyes undergoing EK eventually require glaucoma surgery and experience graft-related complications. Postoperative outcomes are typically worse for patients undergoing EK for prior failed grafts than for those undergoing EK for Fuchs' corneal endothelial dystrophy.

Biosimilar Uptake in Medicare Part B Varied Across Hospital Outpatient Departments and Physician Practices: The Case of Filgrastim.

OBJECTIVES: To examine the uptake of filgrastim-sndz (Zarxio), the first biosimilar to launch in the United States, in the Medicare Part B fee-for-service program from its launch in September 2015 to December 2017 and compare characteristics of patients and facilities that used filgrastim-sndz or originator filgrastim (Neupogen). METHODS: The 20% sample of Medicare Part B fee-for-service administrative claims data was used to extract information on claims for any filgrastim product between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2017. RESULTS: The utilization of filgrastim-sndz in Medicare Part B increased sharply between January and August 2016, surpassing filgrastim by November 2017, contributing to a 30% decrease in overall spending on this drug since 2015. Uptake was faster and larger in physician practices compared with hospital outpatient departments. About 77% of patients receiving filgrastim-sndz were new users. Utilization patterns indicated that product selection occurred at the facility level, rather than being at the discretion of the prescribing physician or driven by patient characteristics. CONCLUSION: Uptake of biosimilar filgrastim in the Medicare Part B program occurred despite multiple challenges to the adoption of biosimilars in the US market, suggesting that substantial potential savings could be generated by improving biosimilar uptake. Our findings indicated that physician practices and hospital outpatient departments have distinctive biosimilar uptake patterns. Thus policy makers aiming to contain Medicare Part B spending might consider focusing on incentivizing biosimilar uptake among hospital outpatient departments.

Hospital Medicine Has a Specialty Code. Is the Memo Still in the Mail?

The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services awarded Hospital Medicine a Medicare specialty code, "C6", in 2016. We examined the early uptake of C6 code using the 2017 Medicare Part B utilization data. We also compared the actual C6 specialty code usage against estimated rates of overall hospitalist billing using threshold-based hospitalist rates of Evaluation and Management codes to assess the integration of the newly introduced code. Billing activity associated with the C6 code was approximately one-tenth of expected rates.

New evidence of state variation in Medicaid payment policies for dual Medicare-Medicaid enrollees.

OBJECTIVE: To develop the first longitudinal database of state Medicaid policies for paying the cost sharing in Medicare Part B for services provided to dual Medicare-Medicaid enrollees ("duals") and an index summarizing the impact of these policies on payments for physician office services. DATA SOURCES: Medicaid policy data collected from electronic sources and inquiries with states. STUDY DESIGN: We constructed a national database of Medicaid payment policies for the period 2004-2018, consolidating information from online Medicaid policy documents, state laws, and policy data reported to us by state Medicaid programs. Using this database and state Medicaid fee schedules, we constructed a Medicaid payment index for duals. This index represented the proportion of the Medicare allowed amount that physicians would expect to be paid from Medicare and Medicaid for a subset of physician office services (evaluation and management services) based on annual state payment policies and Medicaid fee schedules. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: In 2018, 42 states had policies to limit Medicaid payments of Medicare cost sharing when Medicaid's fee schedule was lower than Medicare's-an increase from 36 such states in 2004. In the preponderance of states with these policies, combined Medicare and Medicaid payments for evaluation and management services provided to duals averaged 78 percent of the Medicare allowed amount for these services, reflecting relatively low Medicaid fee schedules in these states. In 2013 and 2014, physicians who qualified for the Affordable Care Act's Medicaid "fee bump" were paid 100 percent of the Medicare allowed amount for these services. CONCLUSIONS: Medicaid programs vary across states and over time in their payments of cost sharing for physician office services provided to duals. Our database and index can facilitate monitoring of these policies and research on the consequences of policy changes for duals.

Higher Surgeon Procedure Volume Is Associated with Improved Hemodialysis Vascular Access Outcomes.

The objective of this study was to examine the association between surgeon characteristics, procedural volume, and short-term outcomes of hemodialysis vascular access. A retrospective cohort study was performed using Medicare Part A and B data from 2007 through 2014 merged with American Medical Association Physician Masterfile surgeon data. A total of 29,034 procedures met the inclusion criteria: 22,541 (78%) arteriovenous fistula (AVF) and 6,493 (22%) arteriovenous graft (AVG). Of these, 13,110 (45.2%) were performed by vascular surgeons, 9,398 (32.3%) by general surgeons, 2,313 (8%) by thoracic surgeons, 1,517 (5.2%) by other specialties, and 2,696 (9.3%) were unknown. Every 10-year increase in years in practice was associated with a 6.9 per cent decrease in the odds of creating AVF versus AVG (P = 0.02). Surgeon characteristics were not associated with the likelihood of vascular access failure. Every 10-procedure increase in cumulative procedure volume was associated with a 5 per cent decrease in the odds of vascular access failure (P = 0.007). There was no association of provider characteristics or procedure volume with survival free of repeat AVF/AVG or TC placement at 12 months. A significant portion of the variability in likelihood of creating AVF versus AVG is attributable to the provider-level variation. Increase in procedure volume is associated with decreased odds of vascular access failure.

Supplemental Security Income enrollment and health care and social assistance employment and wages.

We examine the relationship between disabled working-age Supplemental Security Income (SSI) enrollment and health care and social assistance employment and wages. County-level data are gathered from government and other publicly available sources for 3144 US counties (2012 to 2015). Population-weighted linear regression analyses examine associations between each health care and social assistance employment and wage measure and SSI enrollment, controlling for factors associated with health care and social assistance employment and wages. Results show positive associations between county-level percent of the population enrolled in the SSI program and health care and social assistance employment and wages with strong associations identified for social assistance employment. A one standard deviation increase in SSI enrollment is associated with a 5.6% increase in the health care and social assistance sector employment percent compared with the mean and 9.7% and 7.3% increases in health care and social assistance sector employment and wage shares, respectively, when compared with the means. We find working-age adult SSI enrollment is positively associated with employment outcomes, primarily in the social assistance organization subsector and in lower wage paying jobs. Evolving federal disability policy may influence existing and future SSI enrollment, which has implications for health care workforce employment and composition.

Medication adherence as a measure of the quality of care provided by physicians.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the extent to which medication adherence in congestive heart failure (CHF) and diabetes may serve as a measure of physician-level quality. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective analysis of Medicare data from 2007 to 2009, including parts A (inpatient), B (outpatient), and D (pharmacy). METHODS: For each disease, we assessed the correlation between medication adherence and health outcomes at the physician level. We controlled for selection bias by first regressing patient-level outcomes on a set of covariates including comorbid conditions, demographic attributes, and physician fixed effects. We then classified physicians into 3 levels of average patient medication adherence-low, medium, and high-and compared health outcomes across these groups. RESULTS: There is a clear relationship between average medication adherence and patient health outcomes as measured at the physician level. Within the diabetes sample, among physicians with high average adherence and controlling for patient characteristics, 26.3 per 1000 patients had uncontrolled diabetes compared with 45.9 per 1000 patients among physicians with low average adherence. Within the CHF sample, also controlling for patient characteristics, the average rate of CHF emergency care usage among patients seen by physicians with low average adherence was 16.3% compared with 13.5% for doctors with high average adherence. CONCLUSIONS: This study's results establish a physician-level correlation between improved medication adherence and improved health outcomes in the Medicare population. Our findings suggest that medication adherence could be a useful measure of physician quality, at least for chronic conditions for which prescription medications are an important component of treatment.

Endoscopic versus external dacryocystorhinostomy: temporal and regional trends in the United States Medicare population.

Purpose: Endoscopic surgeries, such as dacryocystorhinostomy (DCR), are increasingly performed for orbital and lacrimal conditions. This study describes and compares recent trends in endoscopic DCR with open, or external, DCR in the United States (US). Methods: Medicare-Part-B National Summary data files were analyzed from 2000 to 2015 for temporal and geographic trends in endoscopic and external DCR. Medicare Physician and Other Supplier public use files detailing provider information were collected and analyzed from 2012 to 2015. Results: Between 2000 and 2015, the number of external DCRs remained relatively unchanged (8008 to 7086, -0.7% average annual growth), while the number of endoscopic DCRs steadily increased (881 to 1674, 4.6% average annual growth). The greatest number of endoscopic DCRs were performed in the South Atlantic region, whereas the Mountain region had the greatest number per capita. From 2000 to 2015, the average payment per procedure for external DCR was $526.63, compared with $512.45 for endoscopic DCR. Of endoscopic DCRs performed from 2012 to 2015, 831 (79%) were performed by Ophthalmology, 184 (18%) were performed by Otolaryngology, and the remainder by other subspecialties. Conclusions: The number of endoscopic DCR surgeries increased over the last 15 years while the number of external DCR surgeries remained stable and continued to surpass endoscopic procedures. While ophthalmologists perform the overwhelming majority of endoscopic DCR, otolaryngologists are performing a growing number.

Admission diagnoses among patients with heart failure: Variation by ACO performance on a measure of risk-standardized acute admission rates.

BACKGROUND: A key quality metric for Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) is the rate of hospitalization among patients with heart failure (HF). Among this patient population, non-HF-related hospitalizations account for a substantial proportion of admissions. Understanding the types of admissions and the distribution of admission types across ACOs of varying performance may provide important insights for lowering admission rates. METHODS: We examined admission diagnoses among 220 Medicare Shared Savings Program ACOs in 2013. ACOs were stratified into quartiles by their performance on a measure of unplanned risk-standardized acute admission rates (RSAARs) among patients with HF. Using a previously validated algorithm, we categorized admissions by principal discharge diagnosis into: HF, cardiovascular/non-HF, and noncardiovascular. We compared the mean admission rates by admission type as well as the proportion of admission types across RSAAR quartiles (Q1-Q4). RESULTS: Among 220 ACOs caring for 227,356 patients with HF, the median (IQR) RSAARs per 100 person-years ranged from 64.5 (61.7-67.7) in Q1 (best performers) to 94.0 (90.1-99.9) in Q4 (worst performers). The mean admission rates by admission types for ACOs in Q1 compared with Q4 were as follows: HF admissions: 9.8 (2.2) vs 14.6 (2.8) per 100 person years (P < .0001); cardiovascular/non-HF admissions: 11.1 (1.6) vs 15.9 (2.6) per 100 person-years (P < .0001); and noncardiovascular admissions: 42.7 (5.4) vs 69.6 (11.3) per 100 person-years (P < .0001). The proportion of admission due to HF, cardiovascular/non-HF, and noncardiovascular conditions was 15.4%, 17.5%, and 67.1% in Q1 compared with 14.6%, 15.9%, and 69.4% in Q4 (P < .007). CONCLUSIONS: Although ACOs with the best performance on a measure of all-cause admission rates among people with HF tended to have fewer admissions for HF, cardiovascular/non-HF, and noncardiovascular conditions compared with ACOs with the worst performance (highest admission rates), the largest difference in admission rates were for noncardiovascular admission types. Across all ACOs, two-thirds of admissions of patients with HF were for noncardiovascular causes. These findings suggest that comprehensive approaches are needed to reduce the diverse admission types for which HF patients are at risk.

Did Clarification of Medicare Guidelines Change Outpatient Physical Therapy and Occupational Therapy Usage? A Retrospective Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To determine if there was a change in the number of outpatient physical therapy (PT) and occupational therapy (OT) visits for Medicare beneficiaries, and in the number of beneficiaries receiving extended courses of >12 therapy visits, after the Jimmo vs Sebelius settlement. DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis of the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) comparing calendar years 2011-2012 to 2014-2015. SETTING: Community in-home survey. PARTICIPANTS: Medicare Part-B recipients who received outpatient PT/OT (N=1183, median age 70.8) during pre-Jimmo settlement (2011-2012) and post-Jimmo settlement (2014-2015) time periods. INTERVENTION: Not applicable. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Number of therapy visits/patient/year and number of subjects who received >12 therapy visits/year estimated by linear and logistic regressions controlling for potential confounders (age, body mass index [BMI], and geographic region). RESULTS: The unadjusted median number of therapy visits/year increased from 7 to 8 after the settlement. Linear regression estimated a 1.02 increase in the number of therapy visits after the settlement (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.23, 1.80; P=.01). The odds of having >12 therapy visits/year increased (odds ratio=1.41; 95% CI 1.02,1.96; P=.04). We observed a significant interaction between race and the effect of the settlement on the odds of having >12 therapy visits (OR 3.64; 95% CI 1.58, 8.39). Non-Hispanic white subjects saw an increase in utilization while a combined group of black, Hispanic and Asian subjects' utilization declined. CONCLUSION: Utilization of outpatient PT/OT changed after the 2013 Jimmo settlement. Further research is needed to determine the effect on patient outcomes and cost.

Utilizing Patient-Specific Factors to Predict Costs in Home-Based Medicare Part B Outpatient Physical Therapy.

The US health care system faces rising costs related to population aging, among other factors. One aspect of the high costs related to aging is Medicare outpatient therapy expenditures, which in 2010 totaled $5.642B for ∼4.7 million beneficiaries. Given the magnitude of these costs and the need to maximize value, this study developed and tested a predictive model of outpatient therapy costs. Retrospective analysis was performed on electronic medical record data from October 31, 2014-September 30, 2016 for 15,468 Medicare cases treated by physical therapists associated with a large, national rehabilitation provider. The analysis was a multiple linear regression of cost per case by 27 predictor variables: age group, sex, recent hospitalization, community vs. facility residence, the 10 states served, time from admission to initial evaluation, initial functional limitation reporting level, functional limitation reporting category, and 9 chronic conditions. The model was designed to be predictive and includes only variables available at the start of a case. The model was statistically significant (P < .0001) but explained only 7.4% of the variance in cost. Of the predictor variables, 16 had statistically significant effects. Those most highly predictive included state in which service was provided (8 of the 16 effects), and 3 variables indicating physical functioning at initial evaluation (initial functional limitation category and level, and residence in community vs. facility). There is need for more research focusing on the effects of specific types of treatment, and also for a more proactive model for outpatient therapy reimbursement that emphasizes prevention as well as treatment.

Racial Differences in the Effects of Hormone Therapy on Incident Open-Angle Glaucoma in a Randomized Trial.

PURPOSE: We conducted a secondary analysis of a randomized, placebo-controlled trial to test if hormone therapy (HT) altered the risk of open-angle glaucoma (OAG), and if the risk reduction varied by race. DESIGN: Secondary analysis of randomized controlled trial data. METHODS: We linked Medicare claims data to 25 535 women in the Women's Health Initiative. Women without a uterus were randomized to receive either oral conjugated equine estrogens (CEE 0.625 mg/day) or placebo, and women with a uterus received oral CEE and medroxyprogesterone acetate (CEE 0.625 mg/day + MPA 2.5 mg/day) or placebo. We used Cox proportional hazards models to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence interval. RESULTS: After exclusion of women with prevalent glaucoma or without claims for eye care provider visits, the final analysis included 8102 women (mean age = 68.5 ± 4.8 years). The OAG incidence was 7.6% (mean follow-up = 11.5 ± 5.2 years; mean HT duration = 4.4 ± 2.3 years). Increased age (P trend = .01) and African-American race (HR = 2.69, 95% CI = 2.13-3.42; white as a reference) were significant risk factors for incident OAG. We found no overall benefit of HT in reducing incident OAG (HR = 1.01, 95% CI = 0.79-1.29 in the CEE trial, and HR = 1.05, 95% CI = 0.85-1.29 in the CEE + MPA trial). However, race modified the relationship between CEE use and OAG risk (P interaction = .01), and risk was reduced in African-American women treated with CEE (HR = 0.49, 95% CI = 0.27-0.88), compared to placebo. Race did not modify the relation between CEE + MPA use and OAG risk (P interaction = .68). CONCLUSIONS: Analysis suggests that HT containing estrogen, but not a combination of estrogen and progesterone, reduces the risk of incident OAG among African-American women. Further investigation is needed.

Characteristics Associated With Receiving Cataract Surgery in the US Medicare and Veterans Health Administration Populations.

Importance: Considerable variation exists with respect to the profiles of patients who receive cataract surgery in the United States. Objective: To identify patient characteristics associated with receiving cataract surgery within the US Medicare and Veterans Health Administration (VHA) populations. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this population-based retrospective cohort study of 3 073 465 patients, Medicare and VHA patients with a cataract diagnosis between January 1, 2002, and January 1, 2012, were identified from the 2002-2012 Medicare Part B files (5% sample) and the VHA National Patient Care Database. Patient age, sex, race/ethnicity, region of residence, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) scores, and comorbidities were recorded. Cataract surgery at 1 and 5 years after diagnosis was identified. Data analysis was performed from July 1, 2016, to July 1, 2017. Main Outcomes and Measures: Odds ratios (ORs) of cataract surgery for selected patient characteristics. Results: The study sample included 1 156 211 Medicare patients (mean [SD] age, 73.7 [7.0] years) and 1 917 254 VHA patients (mean [SD] age, 66.8 [10.2] years) with a cataract diagnosis. Of the 1 156 211 Medicare patients, 407 103 (35.2%) were 65 to 69 years old, 683 036 (59.1%) were female, and 1 012 670 (87.6%) were white. Of the 1 917 254 VHA patients, 905 455 (47.2%) were younger than 65 years, 1 852 158 (96.6%) were male, and 539 569 (28.1%) were white. A greater proportion of Medicare patients underwent cataract surgery at 1 year (Medicare: 213 589 [18.5%]; VHA: 120 196 [6.3%]) and 5 years (Medicare: 414 586 [35.9%]; VHA: 240 884 [12.6%]) after diagnosis. Factors associated with the greatest odds of surgery at 5 years were older age per 5-year increase (Medicare: OR, 1.24 [95% CI, 1.23-1.24]; VHA: OR, 1.18 [95% CI, 1.17-1.18]), residence in the southern United States vs eastern United States (Medicare: OR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.36-1.40]; VHA: OR, 1.40 [95% CI, 1.38-1.41]), and presence of chronic pulmonary disease (Medicare: OR, 1.26 [95% CI, 1.24-1.27]; VHA: OR, 1.40 [95% CI, 1.38-1.41]). Within Medicare, female sex was associated with greater odds of surgery at 5 years (OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.13-1.15). Higher CCI scores (CCI score ≥3 vs 0-2) were associated with increased odds of surgery among VHA but not Medicare patients at 5 years (Medicare: OR, 0.94 [95% CI, 0.92-0.95]; VHA: OR, 1.24 [95% CI, 1.23-1.36]). Black race vs white race was associated with decreased odds of cataract surgery 5 years after diagnosis (Medicare: OR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.78-0.81]; VHA: OR, 0.75 [95% CI, 0.73-0.76]). Conclusions and Relevance: Within both groups, older age, residence in the southern United States, and presence of chronic pulmonary disease were associated with increased odds of cataract surgery. Findings from this study suggest that few disparities exist between the types of patients receiving cataract surgery who are in Medicare vs the VHA, although it is possible that a smaller proportion of VHA patients receive surgery compared with Medicare patients.